Royal flush: A K Q J T in suit. Chance of getting one, assuming you go for nothing else: Getting one cold. 20/52 * 4/51 * 3/50 * 2/49 * 1/48 = 480 / 311875200 = 1 / 649740 Getting four cards and drawing the fifth. 20/52 * 4/51 * 3/50 * 2/49 * 47/48 * 5 * 1/47 [5C1] = 22560 / 311875200 * 5 * 1 / 47 = 112800 / 14658134400 = 1 / 129948 Getting three cards and drawing the fourth and fifth. 20/52 * 4/51 * 3/50 * 47/49 * 46/48 * 10 * 2/47 * 1/46 [5C2] = 518880 / 311875200 * 10 * 2 / 2162 = 10377600 / 674274182400 = 1 / 64974 Getting two cards and drawing the other three. This is more complicated, because a given hand can contain more than one two-card royal flush subsets. Two high cards, three low cards: 20/52 * 4/51 * 32/50 * 31/49 * 30/48 * 10 [5C2] Two high cards in suit, a high card out of suit, two low cards: 20/52 * 4/51 * 15/50 * 32/49 * 31/48 * 10 * 3 [5C2] [3C1] Two high cards in suit, one high in each of two other suits, one low: 20/52 * 4/51 * 15/50 * 10/49 * 32/48 * 10 * 3 [5C2] [3C1] Two high cards in suit, one high in each other suit: 20/52 * 4/51 * 15/50 * 10/49 * 5/48 * 10 [5C2] Two high cards in each of two suits, one low: 20/52 * 4/51 * 15/50 * 4/49 * 32/48 * 15 [5C2,2] Two high cards in each of two suits, one high in another suit: 20/52 * 4/51 * 15/50 * 4/49 * 10/48 * 15 [5C2,2] All of these need to be multiplied by 3/47 * 2/46 * 1/45. This gives: ( 23808000 + 35712000 + 11520000 + 600000 + 2304000 + 720000 ) / 311875200 * 6 / 97290 = 447984000 / 30342338208000 = 61 / 4131582 = about 1 / 67730.85 Getting only one card and drawing the rest. Again, we have to be careful to count cases, and exclude those where the other four cards include a two-card royal flush subset. One high card, four low cards: 20/52 * 32/51 * 31/50 * 30/49 * 29/48 * 5 [5C1] Two high cards in different suits, three low cards: 20/52 * 15/51 * 32/50 * 31/49 * 30/48 * 10 [5C2] Three high cards in different suits, two low cards: 20/52 * 15/51 * 10/50 * 32/49 * 31/48 * 10 [5C2] Four high cards (in different suits), one low card: 20/52 * 15/51 * 10/50 * 5/49 * 32/48 * 5 [5C1] All of these need to be multiplied by 4/47 * 3/46 * 2/45 * 1/44. This gives us: ( 86304000 + 89280000 + 29760000 + 2400000 ) / 311875200 * 24 / 4280760 = 4985856000 / 1335062881152000 = 4328 / 1158908751 = about 1 / 267770 Getting no high cards and then drawing a royal flush. 32/52 * 31/51 * 30/50 * 29/49 * 28/48 * 20/47 * 4/46 * 3/45 * 2/44 * 1/43 = 11599257600 / 57407703889536000 = 7192 / 35595054495 = about 1 / 4949256.74 The total chance is thus 1 / 649740 + 1 / 129948 + 1 / 64974 + 61 / 4131582 + 4328 / 1158908751 + 7192 / 35595054495 = ( 1 * 129948 * 64974 * 4131582 * 1158908751 * 35595054495 + 649740 * 1 * 64974 * 4131582 * 1158908751 * 35595054495 + 649740 * 129948 * 1 * 4131582 * 1158908751 * 35595054495 + 649740 * 129948 * 64974 * 61 * 1158908751 * 35595054495 + 649740 * 129948 * 64974 * 4131582 * 4328 * 35595054495 + 649740 * 129948 * 64974 * 4131582 * 1158908751 * 7192 ) / ( 649740 * 129948 * 64974 * 4131582 * 1158908751 * 35595054495 ) = 40509251670641272105825315294688671200 / 934983806298299536576727264429150499643200 = 4318151 / 99666152586 = about 1 / 23080.75 Flush: all five cards the same suit. Chance of getting one, assuming you go for nothing else: Getting one cold. 52/52 * 12/51 * 11/50 * 10/49 * 9/48 = 617760 / 311875200 = 33 / 16660 = about 1 / 504.85 Getting four cards and drawing the fifth. 52/52 * 12/51 * 11/50 * 10/49 * 39/48 * 5 * 9/47 = 13384800 / 311875200 * 9 / 47 = 120463200 / 14658134400 = 1287 / 156604 = about 1 / 121.68 Getting three cards and drawing the other two. 52/52 * 12/51 * 11/50 * 39/49 * 38/48 * 10 * 10/47 * 9/46 = 101724480 / 311875200 * 90 / 2162 = 9155203200 / 674274182400 = 24453 / 1800946 = about 1 / 73.65 Getting two cards and drawing the other three. Getting A A B C D: 52/52 * 12/51 * 39/50 * 26/49 * 13/48 * 10 [5C2] Getting A A B B C: 52/52 * 12/51 * 39/50 * 12/49 * 26/48 * 15 [5C2,2] Both multiplied by 11/47 * 10/46 * 9/45 ( 82255680 / 311875200 + 113892480 / 311875200 ) * 990 / 97290 = 194186678400 / 30342338208000 = 57629 / 9004730 = about 1 / 156.25101724480 There is no way to get only one card in a suit without getting at least two in some other suit. Total chance 33 / 16660 + 1287 / 156604 + 24453 / 1800946 + 1859 / 128639 = ( 33 * 156604 * 1800946 * 128639 + 16660 * 1287 * 1800946 * 128639 + 16660 * 156604 * 24453 * 128639 + 16660 * 156604 * 1800946 * 1859 ) / ( 16660 * 156604 * 1800946 * 128639 ) = 23106505073589357728 / 604437212568492064160 = 172117 / 4502365 = about 1 in 26.16